Welcome Guest: เข้าสู่ระบบ | สมัครสมาชิก วันเวลาปัจจุบัน ศุกร์ มี.ค. 29, 2024 6:33 am

หน้าเว็บบอร์ด ร่วมทำงานกับเรา School Master LaDainian Tomlinson Color Rush Jersey

School Master คุยกัน

Moderator: photo_a


LaDainian Tomlinson Color Rush Jersey

โพสต์โดย linchao เมื่อ พุธ พ.ค. 15, 2019 9:35 am

How did the Chargers fare in the most pivotal down in football last year?"WhiteFanposts Fanshots Sections San Diego Chargers Daily LinksSan Diego Chargers NewsSan Diego Chargers OffseasonSan Diego Chargers HistorySan Diego Chargers HumorThe 4th Down Bot Vs. 2018: Part OneNew LaDainian Tomlinson Color Rush Jersey ,5commentsHow did the Chargers fare in the most pivotal down in football last year?PSTShareTweetShareShareThe 4th Down Bot Vs. 2018: Part OneIf you missed the Prologue, you can read about the Rebirth of the 4th Down Bot HERE.For everyone else, we’re going to jump right in to the data to see how the LA Chargers did against the odds in 2018.First, let’s call the 4th Down Bot (ver 2.0)back over here so that we can look at the chart:The difference between Bot 1.0 and Bot 2.0 is a more aggressive push in the final minutes of each half. In all other matters, the above chart is identical for both modelsThis monster of pigskin and steel is bent on one ultimate goal: to maximize the gridiron’s most pivotal down. While that sounds nice and dandy, the Bot’s methods are uncompromising and ruthlessly efficient. The good news is that modern football is aligning more and more with the Bot’s point of view, so clashes should be limited as more and more teams begin to utilize analytics to a greater degree. The first iteration of the 4th Down Bot did not take into account the game clock. The Professor fixed this with the second iteration, but those changes really only apply to the final 3 minutes and 45 seconds of each half. In short—the 4th Down Bot has research and historical data that proves that aggressive playcalling on 4th Down can pay off more often than not.Did Anthony Lynn take note?2018:Part One - Weeks 1-4Now let’s compare these stats with previous seasons!2018:Week 1: 4/7 (57.1%)Week 2: 3/6 (50.0%)Week 3: 6/6 (100.0%)* A 1/6 correction noted between bot 1.0 and 2.0!Week 4: 6/8 (75.0%)2018 1st Quarter season stats: 19/27 (70.3%) agreement2017:Week 1: 5/8 (62.5%)Week 2: 5/5 (100.0%)Week 3: 4/6 (66.6%)Week 4: 5/7 (71.4%)2017 1st Quarter season stats: 19/26 (73.0%) agreementAnd to further the comparison and contrast, we’re throwing in the last year before Anthony Lynn:2016:Week 1: 5/8 (62.5%)Week 2: 5/5 (100.0%)Week 3: 4/6 (66.6%)Week 4: 5/7 (71.4%)2016 1st Quarter season stats: 19/26 (73.0%) agreementAre you surprised by these results?As a numbers guy Jatavis Brown Color Rush Jersey , I immediately am incredibly surprised that the amount of agreed plays was absolutely identical for the previous three years. That is, in and of itself, a statistical anomaly. There being only one more 4th down play attempted in 2018 versus the previous two years is also astounding (and very nice for quality comparison!).Many think of Anthony Lynn as an aggressive coach: a loose cannon that could ‘go for two’ at any point. This exercise is ill-equipped to prove or disprove that notion. Instead, it illustrates whether or not coaches were more or less likely to follow good statistics for their 4th down calls. You might be tempted to think that, based on these results, Mike McCoy was unfairly vilified for his playcalling. I’ll leave you with this final roundup:2016 - 4th down calls within own field side (weeks 1-4): 16 of 262017 - 4th down calls within own field side (weeks 1-4): 16 of 262018 - 4th down calls within own field side (weeks 1-4): 14 of 27My interpretation of these numbers is that Anthony Lynn is actually learning from his experiences. While the first quarter of 2018 indicates that he slightly took his foot off of the gas on 4th down compared to 2017, he’s still on the right side of the odds (the league average was 62.4% agreement in 2018).What’s more, the times that Lynn did not agree with the bot was when he decided he’d rather have points on the board or pin the other team rather deep and trust his defense.NEXT WEEK: Lynn Vs. the 4th Down Bot - 2nd Quarter 2018 (Weeks 5-9)-Jason “My Numbers are Dayed” Michaels Good morning, ladies and degenerates!As you know Rayshawn Jenkins Color Rush Jersey , our favorite rascal, the Degenerate Gambler, enjoys putting $100 on various Chargers-themed bets each week. He is terribly addicted, we’re sorry to say, but we can rest easy knowing that he doesn’t really have to worry about collectors at the moment, as he’s been on a good winning streak for the last few weeks. Let’s see how he’s done to this point, shall we?LAST WEEK: Week 12: Cardinals @ ChargersWager 1 - Cardinals spread (+14):$35.00 [-115] L Wager 2 - Total points (over 44.0): $50.00 [-105] W $47.62Wager 3 - First half total (>20.5):$15.00 [-155] W $9.68Week 12 Totals:+$22.302018 Total: +$98.54Another good week for the Gambler, but that’s largely because he figured that there would be a bit of a shootout. As things would happen, there was no shootout at all. The Cardinals simply got decimated Justin Jones Color Rush Jersey , and the Chargers put up an incredible number of points in the second quarter, helping the Gambler elevate two of his bets and destroying the first. He is okay with this situation!But what about today’s events?Week 13: Chargers @ SteelersWager 1 - Total Points (Under 52.5):$45.00 [-110]Wager 2 - Total receiving yards - Antonio Brown (<84.5):$10 [-110]Wager 3 - Total receiving yards - A. Ekeler (>28.5): $15 [-110]Wager 4 - Total passing yards - Big Ben (>301.5):$15 [-115]Wager 5 - No team scores 3 consecutive times: $15 [+200]Total potential win:$106.28Total potential loss:Everything again!So, diving in here, we can try and see what it is the Gambler envisions for this tough-to-figure-out matchup. The Steelers historically play pretty well on their home turf, but the problem with both teams is that this is not a must-win game. Yes, the winner almost assuredly stamps their postseason ticket on account of this win. However, there are clear and easy paths to the postseason for each team with a loss today. Expect a surprisingly sloppy game. If any team takes over, it’s the Chargers because they might suddenly smell that the Chiefs are vulnerable.Everyone is expecting an offensive explosion, and for good reason. But 52.5 is just a really Kyzir White Color Rush Jersey , really high point total. The Gambler honestly wanted the Chargers spread to be 3.5, because he has this game marked as a Chargers loss by 3 (on the final play of the game, no surprise). Without a decent kick-back for taking the Chargers moneyline (a paltry +155), the Degenerate Gambler went on the game-day individual bets.JuJu Smith-Schuster has been the Pittsburgh #1 lately in everything but the public consciousness. For that reason, expect him to flourish and Antonio Brown to be limited to low yardage (and 2 TDs in crazy situations). The Gambler was most unsure about that bet, but pretty sure that Big Ben throws for more than 301.5. He’s done that the majority of the season. After last week, many people are starting to notice Philip Rivers, but don’t let his accuracy distract you from a terrible bet: Over 290.1 is a bad bet for Rivers, because he’s only done that a few times this season Virgil Green Color Rush Jersey , with 259 on last week’s record day. Roethlisberger is good for high yardage whether he’s got a good game or a bad one.The Gambler feels that the betting world hasn’t caught on to Ekeler being much of a factor, so he’s quite happy with a [-110] return on what should be an easy mark: catch 28.5 or more yards. Ekeler has averaged 32.2 per game, and Gordon clocked in at 45.3. Great bet!Finally, it’s another great week for the Gambler because he gets to take his FAVORITE bet! He wanted to go hard on ‘No team scores 3 consecutive times,’ but it’s a positive return because it doesn’t hit all that often. Still, the key to winning that bet is to take it when two strong teams meet. When he saw +200 on the return, this is one of the juiciest times to take a long-shot bet this year. He’s not ready to mortgage the week on that high return, but there could be worse choices for a Degenerate Gambler.Good luck this week!-Jason ”Steel My Heart” Michaels
linchao
0
 
โพสต์: 268
Cash on hand: 50.00

ย้อนกลับไปยัง School Master

ผู้ใช้งานขณะนี้

กำลังดูบอร์ดนี้: ไม่มีสมาชิกใหม่ และ บุคคลทั่วไป 4 ท่าน

cron